Quick calculators

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The formulas and curves from the studies, ready to use with the values of your match.

SkillsGKGoalkeepingDFDefendingPMPlaymakingWIWingerPSPassingSCScoringSPSet piecesXPExperienceSTStamina

Possession

Your midfield Opp. midfield

–of the open chances

a³/(a³+b³). Works with ratings (e.g. 12.25) or with midfield HatStats.

IFK conversion

Your ISP Att Opp. ISP Def

–

Smoothed "true" curve (17372624.488). Difference = (Att − Def) × 4 = number of sublevels (very low / low / high / very high).

Counter-attacks

CA tactic level Opp. missed chances

–

Trigger rate by level (17537676.829, last 5 seasons).

Man marking

Marker's DF Marker's specialty Marked player's best skill Marked player's specialty Sector

–effect of the marking on the marked player

Team experience and captain

Average XP of the 11 Captain's XP Captain's leadership

–team experience

(experience of the 11 + captain) / 12 × (1 − (7 − leadership) / 20). With leadership 7 there is no penalty; each level below takes away 5%. Try several captains and keep the one with the highest value. Source: 17665541.27.

Tactic level

Average SC (10) Average SP (10) Sum of PS (10)

Long shots
–

Attack in the middle / on wings
–

LS = 1.66 × scoring + 0.55 × set pieces − 7.6. AIM/AOW = sum of passing / 5 − 2. "Clean" skills of the 10 outfield players. Source: 17665541.37–38.

Calculator: goal probability of a special event

Choose the event and enter the skills that matter: the calculator estimates the probability that the event, once triggered, becomes a goal.

Event Opp. keeper stars Attackers' profile ISP attack Opp. ISP defence Your headers Opp. headers Technical player's position Opp. header's position PNF playmaking Sum of central defenders' defending PNF scoring Opp. keeper goalkeeping Your unpredictable's passing Your keeper's goalkeeping

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How it works: the base is the real conversion of each event by the opponent keeper's stars (nickarana, 17464575.318; beyond 9.5 stars extended with 17464575.317). The "high scoring" profile applies the ratio between LS and non-LS teams measured above 400 HatStats (17405294.695): it raises shooting events and corners and lowers passing and winger events. Corner–Anyone uses nickarana's model on ISP difference × keeper factor (17464575.555); Corner–Head the table of attacking vs defending headers (17464575.513); Technical–Head the conversion by position (17537676.15). PNF and own goal use curves reconstructed from HT-Tasos' examples (17537676.21–22, 17537676.18). They remain estimates: skills and stars do not match perfectly.

17464575.318 17464575.317 17405294.695 17464575.555 17464575.513 17537676.15 17537676.21 17537676.18